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Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.Afternoon comment: index adjustment The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.49% in half a day. Bean bag concept stocks were strong in early trading, and the index was collectively adjusted in early trading. The three major stock indexes all fell by more than 1%. In terms of sectors, the concept stocks of bean bags were strong in early trading, and the collective daily limit of three-dimensional communication, Beiwei Technology, Global Printing, and Zhewen Internet; The concept of ice and snow industry continued its upward trend. Jingxue energy-saving 20cm daily limit, iceberg cold and hot, snowman shares and other daily limit closures; The game e-sports sector is active, and the daily limit of Zhewen Internet and Electric Soul Network is up; Real estate stocks continued to adjust, and Hefei Urban Construction and Gorgeous Family were among the top losers. Food, liquor and other consumer sectors fell into a callback, and Yiming food fell to a limit; Insurance stocks weakened collectively, led by China Life Insurance. Overall, individual stocks showed a general decline trend, with more than 4,100 stocks falling. On the disk, the Aauto Quicker concept, short play games and cultural media sectors were among the top gainers, while the insurance, liquor and real estate sectors were among the top losers.Wanwuyun: Signing a new framework agreement with Vanke, with the term ending at the end of 2027. On December 13th, Wanwu cloud hosting Science and Technology Service Co., Ltd. (02602.HK) issued an announcement. In view of the fact that the existing framework agreement will expire on December 31st, 2024 and the company intends to continue to sign similar transactions thereafter, the board of directors announced that Wanwuyun signed a new framework agreement with Vanke on December 12th, 2024, including a framework agreement on the use and maintenance of new technology systems. New property leasing Framework Agreement; New AIoT and BPaaS solution service framework agreement; New property service framework agreement; New value-added service framework agreement; And the new property agency service framework agreement, valid from January 1, 2025 to December 31, 2027. As of the date of announcement, Vanke Company accounts for 56.84% of the issued share capital of Wanwuyun and is the controlling shareholder. At the same time, the announcement shows that the extraordinary general meeting of shareholders will be held on December 31, 2024 to review and approve related transactions and annual caps. In addition, Wanwuyun announced that its registered address in China has been changed to Room 2201, Building B, Chuangzhiyun Center, No.1 Guangsha Road, Futian District, Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province.

Five bodies were found in a pickup truck on the intercity highway in Guanajuato, Mexico. On December 12, local time, the Public Security Office of Salvatierra, Guanajuato, a central Mexican province, said that the police found five bodies in a pickup truck on the intercity highway in this area. It is reported that five bodies were packed in plastic bags and discarded in a pickup truck. The Office of the Attorney General of Guanajuato will investigate the case.The institutional deposits of Ping An Bank exceeded 400 billion yuan. At the beginning of this year, Ping An Bank successfully won the bid for the qualification of central treasury centralized payment agent bank. Interface journalists learned from the recent Digital Intelligence Government Conference held by the bank that up to now, Ping An Bank has more than 1,000 core government qualifications and institutional deposits have exceeded 400 billion yuan. At the conference, the bank officially released the "Safe and Intelligent Government Affairs" platform, and signed general-to-general partnership agreements with the first batch of 10 institutional business partners, including Booz Software, Shenyue Software and Guangdong Bankruptcy Administrators Association.Medvedev: Trump is very talented, but ending the conflict between Russia and Ukraine in one day is a campaign slogan. According to the Tass news agency, on December 12, Medvedev, vice chairman of the Russian Security Council, said that US President-elect Trump's statement that he could end the conflict in Ukraine "within 24 hours" was his slogan to win the presidential election. Medvedev said, "Trump is a talented person. I think this is still the slogan of (Trump) to win the election. " (Reference message)

EDI SUSIANTO, Executive Director of the Bank of Indonesia: The decline of the Indonesian rupiah was affected by global sentiment and the rise of the US dollar.Dividend assets are expected to become the main investment line next year, and the investment in dividend plate is heating up! Standard & Poor's dividend ETF(562060) rallied. On December 13th, by midday, the standard & poor's dividend ETF(562060) had dropped by 1.58%, with a turnover of 18,545,900 yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and in terms of rising, Sanqi Mutual Entertainment leads the rise; In terms of decline, Yongxing Materials led the decline. In the news, on December 12th, official website of China Securities Regulatory Commission published the latest personal pension investment list, and 85 index funds were included, including 7 bonus index funds. In addition, the recent performance of high dividend assets is strong, and the market's investment enthusiasm for the dividend sector continues to heat up. The industry believes that dividend assets are expected to become the main line of investment next year with the downward trend of interest rates and the improvement of dividend yield. In addition, considering that there are still many uncertainties in the current global environment, the defensive nature of dividend assets may still be a safe haven for capital seeking. Faced with the long-term trend that domestic risk-free interest rates will continue to decline, the scarcity and stability of dividend income are expected to help dividend assets continue to serve as an important direction for long-term funds to seek cost performance.Pakistan KSE-100 index opened up 0.3% to 114,767.90.